Reflections on the Covid Inquiry Module 2 Report
Transmitting uncertainty
Our comments on the recently published Module 2 report of the Covid Inquiry seem to have attracted some interest. At least 11,500 users accessed the post. Carl was interviewed on MSM, and the post was reproduced in the Daily Sceptic, attracting some interesting comments.
In this post, I reflect on one of the key issues in the whole Covid saga. That of viral transmission.
Searching Volume 1, there are 261 hits for the term “transmission”.
The mighty Hallett Inquiry touched on the topic as follows:
COVID-19 spread mainly through respiratory particles, with airborne transmission becoming recognised as a major route.
Asymptomatic and presymptomatic spread was widespread, making symptom-based control ineffective.
Early estimates showed rapid exponential growth (R ≈ 2–3; doubling every 3 to 4 days).
Fomite (surface) transmission was minimal, shifting focus from cleaning to ventilation.
Community spread was well underway before detection, meaning containment was lost early.
Readers of our transmi…
