Trust the Evidence

Trust the Evidence

The Infection Fatality Ratio: the Errors in the Early Estimates

Recent data shows that early estimates of fatality in the covid pandemic over-predicted deaths by as much as tenfold in younger populations.

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Carl Heneghan, Jason Oke, and Tom Jefferson
Oct 27, 2022
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The Infection Fatality Ratio (IFR) estimates the percentage deaths in all those with an infection: the detected (cases) and those with undetected disease (asymptomatic and the not-tested group).

The I…

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A guest post by
Jason Oke
Medical statistician, University lecturer and researcher in medical screening.
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