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The SARS-CoV-2 transmission riddle - Part 5

The SARS-CoV-2 transmission riddle - Part 5

Model methods are black boxes, their limits are not explained, the data they are based on are highly suspect, and their predictions do not translate into everyday life - but all the rest is fine

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Carl Heneghan
Sep 22, 2022
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The SARS-CoV-2 transmission riddle - Part 5
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Cast your mind back to the early days of the Covid 19 pandemic. Do you remember when initial caution gave way to panic, and TV experts competed to prophesize doom and gloom? 

Uncertainty compelled the experts to apply the precautionary principle. At the very beginning, you have to hastily ramp up the threat - despite not knowing how many people would be …

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