Trust the Evidence

Trust the Evidence

Could they have their money back, please?

You do not fine folks for not following the rules of an experiment - failed or not.

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Tom Jefferson and Carl Heneghan
Mar 14, 2024
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On March 4th, we reported that the Welsh First Minister had concluded that lockdowns were a “failed experiment.”

The Hallet Inquiry: lockdowns are a failed experiment, according to the Welsh First Minister

The Hallet Inquiry: lockdowns are a failed experiment, according to the Welsh First Minister

Carl Heneghan and Tom Jefferson
·
March 4, 2024
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We must confess our astonishment when we read the transcript of the relevant page of the Hallett Inquiry.

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We pointed out on 8 April 2020 that the whole thing was dangerous nonsense; sadly, it has turned out to be. 

COVID-19 – The Tipping Point

COVID-19 – The Tipping Point

Tom Jefferson and Carl Heneghan
·
August 26, 2022
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We are working on developing a framework for testing whether the “experiment” had “failed”, as we like to follow the evidence before firing from both hips. Does the evidence back up our intuition and the First Minister’s statement?

To say an experiment has “failed”, you need to test it and then draw conclusions based on the evidence. In fact, to begin with, you need to set out the objectives and then see if those objectives have been met. If they have not, the experiment has failed. If they have, it’s a success and all shades in between. 

Let’s concentrate on the consequences of calling lockdowns and sundry restrictions an experiment.

The most obvious one is based on o…

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