COVID-19: Unravelling the Uncertainties

From the Archive: First published on May 5, 2020, on CEBM

We are republishing some of our early writings from the pandemic for your consideration in light of TTE's series on the UK’s COVID inquiry Module 1 recommendations.

The Great German strategist Helmuth Von Moltke encapsulated uncertainty as follows:

“No plan of operations extends with any certainty beyond the first contact with the main hostile force”. 

In…