"So, why are we using models to justify decisions?"
Because the Bill Gates, Klaus Schwab, Jeremy Farrar, Jeremy Grantham, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, Tony Fauci etc etc of this world, will clutch at any straw to keep their thievery and control-of-the-plebs mission going. Additional deaths? A bonus.
More to the point, why (and by whom) was Professor Pantsdown Neil Ferguson selected for a star role in this scamdemic?
His previous prognostications had always been between one and six orders of magnitude exaggerated.
As genuine coders fetched in from Microsoft pointed out, he was using an obsolete version of Excel and didn't even know how to set up a spreadsheet properly.
Ah, but there are facts, e.g. those based on observations, and there are 'facts', the modern propaganda instrument where something that has been 'fact-checked' by a so-called 'fact checker' is The Truth, forever, because: "Science!". The medieval equivalent of BBC 'fact checkers', i.e. the Church, wasn't that successful in the end when 'fact-checking' Galilei ...
You also wrote: "TTE is tired of the lack of professionalism in modern-day journalism. Journalists don’t check their numbers or facts; [...]" this is true not just for science reports but across the field, from economics to Net Zero. Please remember the ancient saying: 'if it's in the BBC (and/or the New York Times) then it has to be true' ...
"So, why are we using models to justify decisions?"
Because they're a quick, cheap and easy way to generate policy-based "evidence" which bamboozles people because the modellers are oh-so-clever and intellectual, see, so they must be right.
There's a lot of this about, especially in the current Treasury.
Scottish Unity Edinburgh pointed out the absurdity of modelled predictions of lives saved in 2021. There had been a paper in Eurosurveillance estimating 469816 deaths were averted in the over 60s in 33 countries in the first year of vaccination. This led to claims that in Scotland almost 28000 lives had been saved in 2021 from the vaccines. The Scottish Unity group pointed out that this would imply Scottish mortality rate without vaccines in 2021 would have been 2031 per 100k where for the whole of 2020 in the first year of the deadly pandemic it had been 1045 per 100k population which was similar to 2003 mortality. They did a hilarious graph showing what this would have actually looked like compared to previous years. I can’t find the source but saved the graph. It was so patently absurd it was depressing to see that no journalists actually questioned this claim.
Such statements have a habit of becoming part of the official historical record to be cited again and again as fact for years to come.
I suspect the powers that be do know it to be b****cks but such models serve the purpose of justifying the social and economic butchery as you so aptly characterise what was done.
I’d take issue with: “Regulators don’t use them for approval, and decision-makers like NICE don’t.”
A major part of the reasoning for the accelerated “approvals” (if they can be called such) of the Covid vaccinal products was justified based on a perception of the impact of “the virus”, which was derived in major part from modeling.
I’ve hearing this statement more and more lately from around the world. Pharma again trying to use propaganda to sway the narrative. Maybe they’re getting worried about all the evidence emerging about their unsafe shots.
A good "smell test" indicating that these figures are probably (to use a technical term) b*****x is the stupid name of the "Disease Forecasting Company" which produced them.
You seem unsure how to spell this name. I don't blame you. Is it "Airinifnity"? "Airinfinity"? "Airinifnity"? Or perhaps even "Airinfininifty?"
I don't particularly care. Just someone, please, stop this trend of "branding" things with really stupid names. Especially if it this involves _oh-so-cleverly_ removing vowels. Like the AMBULNZs on the mn rd 100 yrds awy; prbbly crryng crdiac cases.
Unless you're from an ex-Yugo country, where words like "brz", "vrh" and "trg" are just part of the language, dropping vowels is _not big_ and _not clever_.
That reminds me when the vaccines were launched in December 2020 they were given new names, at least in Scotland. Pfizer was called Courageous, AZ was called Sceptre, Moderna was called Renown and there was another one called Astute that never materialised. I have no idea why they were given these names but they never stuck.
I think the person who came up with the names must have got carried away on a wave of Blitz Spirit propaganda. Part Bletchley Park part King Arthur.
It was a very brief episode of weirdness in what had been a surreal year. The names caused a bit of confusion with the first couple of Yellow cards at which point the pseudonyms were quietly retired.
That’s right. I think I tried coding an adverse reaction for the Oxford Astra Zeneca under the name Sceptre in Feb 2021 but they had switched the name to Talent already. All very strange.
It's occurred to me that those are all _warship_ names; some of them quite famous in RN history.
So whoever committed this nominative crime was engaged in total "appropriation of rich cultural heritage", otherwise known as "taking the piss and making it an offence if you dare to notice, cos We're In A Global Pandemic, Didn't You Know?".
Luckily, we have a much better piss-taker on hand, who happily happened to be Scottish: the late great Iain M. Banks, whose far-future, imagined hyper-AI-controlled 50km-long space warships, often very eccentric (though charming to their human charges) but armed with the power to destroy whole solar systems, named _themselves_ things like:
Wouter Aukema from Netherlands downloaded EMA's Eudravigilance case safety reporting system for case safety reports on all drug products including C Jabs. Apart from unprecedented huge numbers of C Jab adverse events, the number 1 spot went to getting Covid! I personally know several who had the same affliction, quite bad symptoms, but all said without vaccination how much worse it would have been! soniaelijah.com/p/true-horrors-of-covid-vaccine-harm I suppose they'd say the jabs lessened severity and morbidity.
The Airfinity and Imperial models amount to nothing but endorsements of government policy. Similar modelling exercises in the Canadian context have stated that up to 800,000 lives were saved from non-pharmaceutical interventions and COVID-19 vaccines. What modellers and journalists failed to consider was that 800,000 COVID-19 deaths correspond to higher per capita death rates than for all Canadian lives lost in World War I, the 1918 influenza pandemic, and World War II. Just as these sort of alternate reality scenarios were used to justify "doing something" in early 2020, the historical revisions -- what could've happened -- are used to vindicate that having "done something" was the right course of action. And, when that "something" was the use of a vaccine, you'll rarely (if ever) read anything bad about it.
I have no idea what your thought are regarding Dr.Mike Yeadon? Today he published a substack called silver bullet. A summary of what has occurred this past four yrs. he now believes there was no virus, the mRNA covid vaxxes are weapons, there is a globalist movement to destroy our lives.
"Airinifnity used an Imperial College London study"
Enough said
"So, why are we using models to justify decisions?"
Because the Bill Gates, Klaus Schwab, Jeremy Farrar, Jeremy Grantham, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, Tony Fauci etc etc of this world, will clutch at any straw to keep their thievery and control-of-the-plebs mission going. Additional deaths? A bonus.
More to the point, why (and by whom) was Professor Pantsdown Neil Ferguson selected for a star role in this scamdemic?
His previous prognostications had always been between one and six orders of magnitude exaggerated.
As genuine coders fetched in from Microsoft pointed out, he was using an obsolete version of Excel and didn't even know how to set up a spreadsheet properly.
Good enough for la Hallett, of course!
Ah, but there are facts, e.g. those based on observations, and there are 'facts', the modern propaganda instrument where something that has been 'fact-checked' by a so-called 'fact checker' is The Truth, forever, because: "Science!". The medieval equivalent of BBC 'fact checkers', i.e. the Church, wasn't that successful in the end when 'fact-checking' Galilei ...
You also wrote: "TTE is tired of the lack of professionalism in modern-day journalism. Journalists don’t check their numbers or facts; [...]" this is true not just for science reports but across the field, from economics to Net Zero. Please remember the ancient saying: 'if it's in the BBC (and/or the New York Times) then it has to be true' ...
"So, why are we using models to justify decisions?"
Because they're a quick, cheap and easy way to generate policy-based "evidence" which bamboozles people because the modellers are oh-so-clever and intellectual, see, so they must be right.
There's a lot of this about, especially in the current Treasury.
Scottish Unity Edinburgh pointed out the absurdity of modelled predictions of lives saved in 2021. There had been a paper in Eurosurveillance estimating 469816 deaths were averted in the over 60s in 33 countries in the first year of vaccination. This led to claims that in Scotland almost 28000 lives had been saved in 2021 from the vaccines. The Scottish Unity group pointed out that this would imply Scottish mortality rate without vaccines in 2021 would have been 2031 per 100k where for the whole of 2020 in the first year of the deadly pandemic it had been 1045 per 100k population which was similar to 2003 mortality. They did a hilarious graph showing what this would have actually looked like compared to previous years. I can’t find the source but saved the graph. It was so patently absurd it was depressing to see that no journalists actually questioned this claim.
Such statements have a habit of becoming part of the official historical record to be cited again and again as fact for years to come.
I suspect the powers that be do know it to be b****cks but such models serve the purpose of justifying the social and economic butchery as you so aptly characterise what was done.
" such models serve the purpose of justifying the social and economic butchery " indeed
I’d take issue with: “Regulators don’t use them for approval, and decision-makers like NICE don’t.”
A major part of the reasoning for the accelerated “approvals” (if they can be called such) of the Covid vaccinal products was justified based on a perception of the impact of “the virus”, which was derived in major part from modeling.
I’ve hearing this statement more and more lately from around the world. Pharma again trying to use propaganda to sway the narrative. Maybe they’re getting worried about all the evidence emerging about their unsafe shots.
A good "smell test" indicating that these figures are probably (to use a technical term) b*****x is the stupid name of the "Disease Forecasting Company" which produced them.
You seem unsure how to spell this name. I don't blame you. Is it "Airinifnity"? "Airinfinity"? "Airinifnity"? Or perhaps even "Airinfininifty?"
I don't particularly care. Just someone, please, stop this trend of "branding" things with really stupid names. Especially if it this involves _oh-so-cleverly_ removing vowels. Like the AMBULNZs on the mn rd 100 yrds awy; prbbly crryng crdiac cases.
Unless you're from an ex-Yugo country, where words like "brz", "vrh" and "trg" are just part of the language, dropping vowels is _not big_ and _not clever_.
That reminds me when the vaccines were launched in December 2020 they were given new names, at least in Scotland. Pfizer was called Courageous, AZ was called Sceptre, Moderna was called Renown and there was another one called Astute that never materialised. I have no idea why they were given these names but they never stuck.
"Courageous", "Sceptre", "Renown", "Astute"... ???? For real?
Never heard about this. Hadrian's Wall/the Tweed protect me!
I would love to imagine that you are simply making this up, but I'm depressed to realise that you are almost certainly not.
I think the person who came up with the names must have got carried away on a wave of Blitz Spirit propaganda. Part Bletchley Park part King Arthur.
It was a very brief episode of weirdness in what had been a surreal year. The names caused a bit of confusion with the first couple of Yellow cards at which point the pseudonyms were quietly retired.
Worth noting they made their way into the BNF:
'Pfizer/BioNTech (Comirnaty®) 30 micrograms/0.3 mL per dose vaccine may previously have been referred to as Courageous in practice.'
'AstraZeneca vaccine (Vaxzevria®) vaccine may previously have been referred to as Talent in practice.'
https://bnf.nice.org.uk/drugs/covid-19-vaccine/
That’s right. I think I tried coding an adverse reaction for the Oxford Astra Zeneca under the name Sceptre in Feb 2021 but they had switched the name to Talent already. All very strange.
It's occurred to me that those are all _warship_ names; some of them quite famous in RN history.
So whoever committed this nominative crime was engaged in total "appropriation of rich cultural heritage", otherwise known as "taking the piss and making it an offence if you dare to notice, cos We're In A Global Pandemic, Didn't You Know?".
Luckily, we have a much better piss-taker on hand, who happily happened to be Scottish: the late great Iain M. Banks, whose far-future, imagined hyper-AI-controlled 50km-long space warships, often very eccentric (though charming to their human charges) but armed with the power to destroy whole solar systems, named _themselves_ things like:
"Now Look What You Made Me Do..."
"Just Read The Instructions"
"Shoot Them Later"
"Of Course I Still Love You"
"Batteries Not Included"
"Pure Big Mad Boat Man!"
Air Finity; (not finicky ...) ......something finite about Air Finity
recognising their limits? .. as we know ............a man gotta know his limitations ........
Wouter Aukema from Netherlands downloaded EMA's Eudravigilance case safety reporting system for case safety reports on all drug products including C Jabs. Apart from unprecedented huge numbers of C Jab adverse events, the number 1 spot went to getting Covid! I personally know several who had the same affliction, quite bad symptoms, but all said without vaccination how much worse it would have been! soniaelijah.com/p/true-horrors-of-covid-vaccine-harm I suppose they'd say the jabs lessened severity and morbidity.
You can make a model predict whatever you want. Very handy for producing “evidence” to support a narrative.
The Airfinity and Imperial models amount to nothing but endorsements of government policy. Similar modelling exercises in the Canadian context have stated that up to 800,000 lives were saved from non-pharmaceutical interventions and COVID-19 vaccines. What modellers and journalists failed to consider was that 800,000 COVID-19 deaths correspond to higher per capita death rates than for all Canadian lives lost in World War I, the 1918 influenza pandemic, and World War II. Just as these sort of alternate reality scenarios were used to justify "doing something" in early 2020, the historical revisions -- what could've happened -- are used to vindicate that having "done something" was the right course of action. And, when that "something" was the use of a vaccine, you'll rarely (if ever) read anything bad about it.
I have no idea what your thought are regarding Dr.Mike Yeadon? Today he published a substack called silver bullet. A summary of what has occurred this past four yrs. he now believes there was no virus, the mRNA covid vaxxes are weapons, there is a globalist movement to destroy our lives.
https://substack.com/app-link/post?publication_id=2172783&post_id=152130154&utm_source=post-email-title&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=xm0yl&token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjo1NjQ1NTAwNSwicG9zdF9pZCI6MTUyMTMwMTU0LCJpYXQiOjE3MzI1MjgyNTgsImV4cCI6MTczNTEyMDI1OCwiaXNzIjoicHViLTIxNzI3ODMiLCJzdWIiOiJwb3N0LXJlYWN0aW9uIn0.EtIDk8PXTzm2M_8QHqSFsw-KTsv0zUryoP7HxXcPrNY
"In 2021, there were 667,479 deaths in the UK.. ( 689,629 deaths in 2020 )
....... the modellers want us to believe that in the absence of vaccination, there would have been 1,174,679 deaths in the UK in 2021. "
how many poor souls sucked up this make-believe ??
can one say " outrageous nonsense"?
"anything else is just a bad guess. "
indeed;
or much worse